By praising Paul Ryan's primary opponent and refusing to endorse the speaker of the House, Trump may have just cost himself any hope of winning Wisconsin in November.

Despite what you may have heard, Paul Ryan is not Eric Cantor.

You can be forgiven for the confusion. Ever since a political unknown took out the powerful House majority leader in a shocking primary upset two years ago, top congressional Republicans have been a little jittery.

If such a shocking (and mortifying, and avoidable) defeat could happen to Cantor—a well-funded, well-established Republican leader with a seemingly bright future—it could happen to anyone.

That's part of the reason some of Donald Trump's top supporters have flocked to the southeast corner of Wisconsin, hoping to re-bottle the Dave Brat magic by using the anti-Cantor, anti-globalization, Trump-friendly rhetoric that proved lethal to past establishment Republicans.

But odds are Paul Ryan is going to be fine.

Trump's decision to abandon the speaker of the House in his own primary won't just hurt their relationship (such as it was), it could also jeopardize Trump's already long-shot efforts to unify Badger State Republicans and win Wisconsin.

The laws of physics do not preclude challenger Paul Nehlen from defeating Ryan. Technically, it's possible.

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