IPFS News Link • Politics: Democratic Campaigns
Odds of No Democratic Primary Winner Now Match Bernie's Chances
• https://moneymaven.io, by MishKey Takeaways from This Morning
I see one clear winner and one runner-up winner. Neither is Bernie Sanders.
Senator Elizabeth Warren is crippled.
Warren may be crippled, but she is out for Bernie.
The New Hampshire Primary increases the odds of a contested convention.
A lot can happen, but the odds of no winner are now about 30% in my estimation. That is up from 25% in my previous forecast.
This afternoon, Nate Silver at 538 came out with its assessment Who Will Win The 2020
Democratic Primary?
Bernie Sanders: 36%
No One: 36%
Biden: 17%
Buttigieg: 5%
Bloomberg 4%
Warren 3%
Bernie's odds of winning outright dropped from 48% to 36%.