Article Image

IPFS News Link • Economy - Economics USA

Services Sector Survey Stupidity: ISM Soars Most Since COVID Rebound, PMI Signals Recession

•, by Tyler Durden

S&P Global's US Services PMI rose from 44.7 to 46.8 in January (contraction for 7th straight month)

ISM Services soared from 49.2 (contraction) to 55.2 (50.5 exp) - the biggest surge since June 2020 and biggest beat since June 2020

After the biggest miss since 2008 in December, January's ISM Services beat by the most since June 2020...

The ISM Services print is the only one not in contraction...

Under the hood of the ISM Services data, jobs, new export orders, and overall orders all jumped while prices slipped lower...

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said:

"Business activity in the vast US services economy contracted in January as companies reported a further deterioration in new business inflows. Hiring has almost ground to halt as firms reassess their payroll needs in the light of the weaker demand environment.

"The downturn is being led by a slump in financial services activity, linked in turn to higher borrowing costs, with consumer-facing service providers also reporting especially tough business conditions amid the ongoing squeeze in spending due to the rising cost of living.

"The January survey meanwhile brought mixed messages on inflation. While costs were boosted in part by rising wage pressures, reflecting the tight labor market, tough competition once again limited scope to pass on these higher costs to customers in the form of higher prices."

Anarchapulco June 2024