The text claims that "Nate Silver models the likelihood of each candidate winning the popular vote based on 2012 G.D.P. growth, President Obama’s current approval rating and the ideology of the candidate."Each candidate? The candidate who has been running third in many polls is conspicuously absent from the article. Included instead are Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman, who are running at the very bottom of the polls at 3.5 and 1.5 percent respectively.