are SO unprepared for our future!
First of all, I am an optimist. I love life! I get a kick out of being alive. I enjoy the American Dream more than most. I play, dance with my wife twice a week and
look forward to the summer. Last year, I bicycled coast-to-coast across
America for the 7th time.
Last month, as I closed in on age 65, I skied to the top of a 13,209
foot peak at 31 below zero in Colorado.
At the top: a glorious view of 100 miles in all directions to see the majestic
snow-capped peaks of the Rocky Mountains!
Robert Redford’s got nothing on me in his movie—Jeremiah Johnson!
While the average American, according to NPR, sits in
front of a TV for 15 years of his/her life—I’m out there living, playing and
adventuring! You can bet that I laugh a lot, pray a lot, appreciate my wife and
family—and expect more adventures.
However, I am also cognizant of what our civilization
faces in the next 20 years. To be downright
realistic, I am not looking forward to it.
How do I know what I am writing about?
I’ve seen it up close and ugly in my 40 years of bicycle travel around
The next 20 years won’t be the cakewalk like the last
20 years! Why?
While I cannot cover such a litany of challenges in three columns, you
may be able to digest a few for starters.
First of all, gasoline will continue to rise in price
from the current $3.19 cents here in Colorado and $3.46 in most of California,
and topping out at $4.69 in West Covina, CA—to $5.00 a gallon this summer and higher
beyond that. It’s already $6.69 in
Europe. If you read Chris Steiner’s
book, $20 Per Gallon, and I reviewed the book last year, ultimately
gasoline will cost $10.00 a gallon and within 20 years or so, it will hit
$20.00 per gallon. Why? Because we
continue devouring that finite resource at an astounding 84 million barrels of
oil every day of the year. That’s 400
million gallons per day in the USA alone! Poof! Up in carbon footprint as it
pollutes our biosphere!
"The cheap oil age created an artificial bubble of plentitude for a
period not much longer than a human lifetime....so I hazard to assert that as
oil ceases to be cheap and the world reserves move toward depletion, we will be
left with an enormous population...that the ecology of the earth will not
support. The journey back toward non-oil population homeostasis will not be
pretty. We will discover the hard way that population hyper growth was
simply a side-effect of the oil age. It was a condition, not a problem
with a solution. That is what happened and we are stuck with it."
James Howard Kunstler, The Long Emergency
Oil’s decline will change everything! We will not be driving personal cars because
we will be forced to use mass transit. It will change the way we shop, eat and
travel. Bicycles, my favorite mode of
transportation, will become more dominant in our cities. Unfortunately, we do not and have not found a
replacement for oil even close to its energy-density and ease of transport.
Peak Oil will change how we grow food and its
cost. It will change transport of food
and materials. It’s already
happening! With our humongous 312
million population, it will be interesting to see if we can afford to eat or if
we can grow enough food TO eat.
As oil prices rise, we will see more starvation around
the world—currently at 18 million humans annually. We can expect 30 to 40 million human beings starving
to death annually by mid century if not more.
We humans have gotten ourselves into a heck of a
conundrum on many levels.
Within the next 20 years, Americans,
if they continue accepting relentless immigration, will see an added 50 to 60
million immigrants on top of another 20 million their (our) own citizens. That means another 60 to 75 million human
beings will be competing for jobs, water, food and energy to keep warm and feed
Anybody scratching their noggins
right about now? Getting a little
nervous for your kids? Concerned about their fate? What about the rest of the planet? Ever hear of the phrase, “I want to give my
kids a better life than I had.” Reality:
ain’t gonna’ happen!
Since humans add 1.0 billion people
net gain every 13 years, that means 1.5 billion more people added to the planet
within 20 years. Ever here of the song, “They’re
coming to America….” by Neil Diamond?
As that ‘surge’ of humanity
stampedes across the globe racing into “remaining” civilized and sustainable
countries like the USA, Canada, Australia and all of Europe—it means your
quality of life and standard of living drop like a brick in water. It means massive unemployed, now at 15
million Americans, will grow to 20 million unemployed Americans. It means 43
million Americans subsisting on food stamps in March of 2011, will grow to over
50 million in a short time. It means
poverty and hopelessness will grow beyond imagination or solving.
Fellow Americans, I am only hitting
the tip of the iceberg in this three part series. If we continue on this current immigration
path of adding 3.1 million desperate souls every year to our country from a
line that grows by 80 million more annually—we and our children: screwed! Plain and simple! Immigrants, too! The results will be unpleasant, even
devastating for all of us.
How do I know? I’ve already witnessed it firsthand in my
world travels. Once those numbers manifest, everybody suffers equally. We’ll cover more of what we face in part
2. We can change the future, but, after
writing about it for the past 30 years, I question whether we possess the
wisdom, energy or guts to change our future for the better. How could we save ourselves?
1. Suspend all immigration today.
2. Engage every scientist in the world to create workable
3. Massive movement toward conservation of water, gasoline and
resources. Two cylinder cars, electric cars, solar powered cars, etc.
4. Massive recycling incentive-driven 10 cent return/deposit on
all plastic, metal, aluminum and glass containers of every kind sold in stores.
5. How about changing our $800 billion annual military expenses
to half that and move toward peace and sanity by leaving Iraq and Afghanistan?
6. Your ideas?
Don’t think I know what I’m talking
about? Just look at these two videos for
5 and 10 minutes:
In a five minute astoundingly simple yet brilliant video, “Immigration, Poverty, and Gum Balls
Roy Beck, director of www.numbersusa.ORG
graphically illustrates the impact of overpopulation. Take five minutes
to see for yourself:
“Immigration by the numbers—off the chart” by Roy Beck
This 10 minute demonstration shows Americans the results of
unending mass immigration on the quality of life and sustainability for future
generations: in a word “Mind boggling!” www.NumbersUSA.org
Part 2: quality of life, species
extinction, standard of living
Last week, I wrote that gas in Europe stood at $9.00 a gallon. I stated that
price from a friend in London, England.
An Austrian lady corrected me that gas in Europe stood at $6.69 tops. I
apologize and show the correction in this column. Thanks for keeping me on my
toes Dr.Jane ten
Brink, Vienna, Austria