IPR conducted a straw poll of delegates at the LNC chair
candidates debate. About 240 people participated, or approximately half
the people here as of tonight. A chart of the full results will be
attached as an update, but in the meantime here are the highlights:
1) Root had a strong plurality on the first ballot but nowhere close
to a majority, meaning that if these results hold in the actual vote
tomorrow there will be additional rounds of voting. Some Root supporters
may not have picked up ballots.
2) Phillies was easily eliminated first, carrying less than 10% of
the vote. However, Rob Power told me that some Phillies supporters got
there late and did not get ballots.
3) Hancock, Myers and Hinkle were all very close, and with subsequent
rounds few of their votes went to Root. In our count, Hancock dropped
first, then Myers, and at that point most of the votes that did not move
to NOTA went to Hinkle. However, it was close, and it is likely that if
Hinkle was eliminated first they would have gone to Myers.
Thanks to David Nolan, Debra Dedmon, Mark Bodenhausen, Steve LaBianca
and Tom Knapp for helping with the printing, distribution, collection
and counting of votes/survey results, and to Dakota Root for helping
make distribution of ballots fun.
UPDATE: ATTACHMENT IS HERE
I think we’re fortunate to have more than 1 candidate who can do a
I was very impressed with Ernie Hancock’s answers at the California
state convention, and didn’t hear anything today to change that opinion.
After hearing the debate today, it occurred to me that there were a
couple of things in Ron Paul’s 2008 campaign that we REALLY need to
replicate: Paul’s campaign attracted voters outside the GOP, and his
campaign attracted YOUNG voters.
The LP definitely needs to find a way to do those two things, so I
would be inclined to vote for Hancock. Whoever the delegates elect, we
need a big membership drive during this campaign.
Wow, you can always count on Paulie and Tom Knapp for interesting
posts. This is an amazing effort.
Barring a monumental posting effort here over the next 3 days,
this will be the month with the second most postings in IPR history, and
we’re nowhere close to November yet.
Trent, agreed. Great twitter/national desk. Thanks to all-The
Nolan, did you get my message?-for the straw poll.
My first choice is George. He has good radar-as good as mine?- in
detecting rightists. & I wonder how he would deal with them e.g. how
would George have deal with Bann Bobb Barr’s attempt to get the LNC to
endorse Ron Dinosaur Fossil Paul & even draft/nominate him? Harshly I
hope. In real time too; not months later wondering what had happened.
Second choice-anybody but Root. Give Root the Boot here & let him
get back to his handlers & figure out a reshuffle for POTUS
nomination. Try actually raising a lot of $ & increasing membership
like you campaign promised in 2008, whydontcha? & I learned the
lessons of 2008 well, having been broke & depressed then kicked to
the curb. I’m not going to forget Ron Paul 35 million-Bob Milnes 0
If anybody detects I’m spoiling for a fight, you got that right.
FBI-bring them on. Take it to Federal Court? I WISH YOU WOULD! Box Teddy
Roosevelt style with ‘Bama? Yeah, bring on the punk. Takeover the
LP-’bout time! Deal with rightists? Put them in their place.
I suspect this polling is roughly accurate–with Phillies bowing
out first and root winning a plurality in the first round (though not a
I actually think Myers will be the next to go, not Hancock–leaving
the third round to Hancock, Root, and Hinkle.
3rd round Hancock gets the boot because of most of Myers’ and
Phillies’ voters going to Hinkle.
4th round Hinkle beats Root with Root’s totals from the 1st round
closely mirroring his finals totals (but with some spillover from the
elimination of Myers).