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News Link • Voting and Elections

A Princeton Neuroscientist PERFECTLY Nailed The Popular Vote

Neuroscientist Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium made a bold call last night.

Wang indicated that his model found that Obama would close with 332 Electoral votes.

Wang also called the following popular vote spread:

Final predicted popular-vote margin: Obama +2.2 +/- 1.0%. Two-candidate vote share: Obama 51.1%, Romney 48.9%.
This morning, what did we find? Well, if Florida goes to Obama, he'll close out with a strong showing of 332 electoral votes. And as for the popular vote, here's what Wang says in his "morning after" post:

The popular vote is Obama 51.1% to Romney 48.9%. Again, this exactly matches my prediction, which was state polls with a little Bayesian help from national polls. 

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