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News Link • Economy - Economics USA

Leading Indicator Of Home-Remodeling Activity Warns Big Drop Coming

• https://www.zerohedge.com by Tyler Durden

The leading indicator [LIRA] forecasts that annual growth in homeowner expenditures for improvement will plunge 6.3% in the current quarter to just .40% by late spring 2020, an ominous sign that a deep structural slowdown which started in 1Q18 is now spreading like cancer through the broader economy.

"Declining home sales and homebuilding activity coupled with slower gains in permitting for improvement projects will put the brakes on remodeling growth over the coming year," says Chris Herbert, Managing Director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies. "However, if falling mortgage interest rates continue to incentivize home sales, refinancing, and ultimately remodeling activity, the slowdown may soften some."

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