A book Review
Re: The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050 by Joel Kotkin
Part 3: Lack of reason, loss of common sense
Joel Kotkin wrote a book celebrating America’s projected 100 million population growth by 2050. From our current 310 million to 400 million! Other reports (“US Population Projections” by Fogel/Martin) show 100 million added within 25 years and 138 million in 40 years.
Kotkin promotes lack of reason and deletion of common sense.
If you try to pour two gallons of water into a one gallon bucket, what do you get? Answer: it spills and someone must clean up the mess. If you cram too many people into a limited land mass, what do you get? Answer: according to the World Health Organization about 18 million starvation deaths annually. It’s called ‘carrying capacity’ and no living creature has or ever will be allowed to exceed the carrying capacity of a land mass or of this planet.
At the Canadian Globe and Mail newspaper, James M. Convey said, “If you read any of Kotkin’s other material (Forbes) it is plain to see that he views his own society through rose colored glasses. He is an elitist of the worst kind, and his analyses are exceptionally flawed. For a Canadian journalist to compliment this idiot’s slanted view of the future development of America and of Global population dynamics is shameful!”
Kotkin promotes “ Smart Sprawl” beyond the megalopolis. “Promoting smart sprawl is a far more reasonable way to meet our environmental needs than hoping to shift back to mass transit based models of the industrial age,” said Kotkin.
Dr. Albert Bartlett responded to such ‘lack-of-reason’ thinking, “Innumerates, innumeracy is the mathematical equivalent of illiteracy, fail to recognize that after maturity, continued growth is either obesity or cancer.”
Bartlett added, “Business groups promote economic development which is the politically correct name for “growth.” Predictably, this will produce more well-to- do people, more homeless people, more employed people, more unemployed people, higher average salaries, more people living below the poverty line, more traffic congestion, higher parking fees, more school crowding, more crime, more unhappy neighborhoods, more expensive government, more tax revenue, higher taxes, more fiscal problems, more tax limitation measures, more air and water pollution, higher utility costs, less reliable utility service, less democracy, more congestion, more crowded highways, more unmanageable costs of maintain infrastructure, higher food costs and more destruction of the environment.”
Kotkin gave no thought to what it means to grow beyond carrying capacity in his entire book. He touched on it for a second with his continued 20th century thinking that ‘growth’ can continue forever. It cannot!
“Concern over resource depletion, or the impact of human development on global climate, are of course warranted and should inform future policies at the global, national and local levels,” Kotkin said. “But attempts to quickly reduce the carbon footprint or to “de-develop” the country could have major implications for economic growth.”
In other words, let’s trash the planet with more carbon footprint along with ecological footprint so we make the United States into an environmental disaster area. Let’s allow a “Human Katrina” to blow into this country without understanding the long term consequences.
Let’s talk ecological footprint: we must destroy 12.6 acres for every human added to America. That land degrades into roads, cities, houses and malls. With an added 100,000,000 people, the sum of land equals 1.26 billion acres of destroyed wilderness. Where do the animals live, eat and procreate? We already lose 250 species in North America annually. Continued human expansion assures more species extinctions at higher numbers.
Kotkin promotes continued upward mobility, unending energy usage, limitless resource destruction and to hell with the environment. He thinks we can create alternative energy, but doesn’t possess a clue other than “ technology” will take care of it.
TECHNOLOGY’S LIMITED ENERGY REALITY
In order to drive cars, boats, planes and fuel industry, Americans use 20 million barrels of oil daily while the rest of the world burns 62 million barrels. That equals 82 million barrels of oil every 24 hours!
When you multiply 365 days by 82,000,000 barrels of oil burned daily, it equals a whopping 29.9 billion barrels of oil annually. If you remember your science, it took two billion years to produce all the oil on this planet. In other words, when oil reserves decline, we exhaust the single major energy source that drives our civilization and most other societies on this planet.
To show how much energy oil provides the U.S. annually, Michael Brownlee of www.transitionbouldercounty.org provided an astounding graph of one cubic mile of oil. That’s how much oil humans burn around the planet each year! That equals to the same amount of energy provided by 52 nuclear power plants built every year for 50 years or 104 operating coal-fired electrical plants built every year for 50 years or 32,000 wind turbines built every year for 50 years—and in continuous operation—or 91,250,000 solar panels built every year for 50 years.
In other words, oil produces dramatically incredible amounts of energy that we cannot and will not be able to duplicate in the coming years.
But what the heck Joel, let’s add another 100 million people to the USA to see what happens!
After reading this book, I shook my head with intellectual revulsion. Forbes Magazine pays Kotkin and supports endless population growth. Penguin Press published the book in order to sell an anachronistic paradigm guaranteed to fail in the 21st century while causing horrific environmental and sociological consequences for the United States.
We face daunting challenges with our already too many 310 million citizens. God help us if we add another million. Lemmings in Norway overpopulate and commit mass suicide in regular four year cycles. They suffer from instinct and over- breeding. We chose in 1970 to enjoy two children replacement families. It’s time to reduce mass immigration to less than 100,000 annually and help other countries establish stable populations via birth control and family planning. If not, Paul Ehrlich’s prophetic quote holds, “Every cause is a lost cause without limiting human overpopulation.”
And, Dr. Bartlett lends his sage understanding, “Can you think of any problem in any area of human endeavor on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long-term solution is in any demonstrable way aided, assisted, or advanced by further increases of population, locally, nationally, or globally.”
If any of us, no matter what our race, creed or color might be, refuse to engage our U.S. Congress as we have not for 30 years as to the population/immigration equation-our children will find themselves living in a terribly degraded America where the American Dream will be described by the history books as a 'fleeting fantasy' from the era of 1950 to 2010.
These are several of the top organizations where you can take collective action to change the course of American history as well as in Canada, the United Kingdom and Australia. Take collective action at www.numbersusa.com where you can fax pre written letters into your reps, 1 million members, bi partisan, very effective.
www.fairus.org ; www.capsweb.org ; www.thesocialcontract.com ; www.populationmedia.org ; www.worldpopulationbalance.org ; www.populationconnection.org ; www.quinacrine.com ; www.familyplanning.org/ , www.skil.org ; www.growthbusters.com ; www.populationpress.org ; www.thinkpopulation.org ; www.carryingcapacity.org ; www.balance.org ; www.controlgrowth.org ; in Canada www.immigrationwatchcanada.org ; in Australia www.population.org.au andPublicPopForum@yahoogroups.com; in Great Britain www.optimumpopulation.org ; and dozens of other sites accessed at www.frostywooldridge.com.
Must see DVD: "Blind Spot" http://www.snagfilms.com/films/title/blind_spot/ , This movie illustrates America's future without oil, water and other resources to keep this civilization functioning. It's a brilliant educational movie! www.blindspotdoc.com
Must see: Rapid Population Decline, seven minute video by Dr. Jack Alpert-
Must see and funny: www.growthbusters.org
Dave Gardner's Polar Bear in Bedroom: http://growthbusters.org/2010/03/save-the-polar-bear-in-your-bedroom ; Dave Gardner, President, Citizen-Powered Media ; Producing the Documentary, GROWTH BUSTERS; presents Hooked on Growth: Our Misguided Quest for Prosperity, Join the cause at www.growthbusters.org ;760 Wycliffe Drive, Colorado Springs, CO 80906 USA; +1 719-576-5565
Check out this link with Wooldridge on bicycle and Lester Brown and panel discussion:
Tomorrow's Americaproject on www.youtube.com/contemporarylearning.
Producer: GEORGE A. COLBURNwww.tomorrowsamerica.com
DC: 202-258-4887; Email: firstname.lastname@example.org
Link to www.tomorrowsamerica.com for more discussions on America's predicament.
Dear fellow Americans, Canadians, Australians, United Kingdom, New Zealand, and planetary citizens:
Re: The USA about to add 100 million people within 25 years—world to add 3 billion people in 40 years, and what actions citizens must take in order to change course toward viable and sustainable societies--interview with Frosty Wooldridge
If you have time, you may enjoy a one hour interview in California as I address overpopulation/immigration, not only in that state, but nationwide and worldwide. I attempted to cover all aspects of what our civilization faces if we continue on our overpopulation path toward adding 100 million people within 25 years here in the USA. While we may become emotional around the immigration issue--in the end--it’s about too many people, too little water, too little resources, vanishing carrying capacity, species extinction, acidified oceans and dwindling energy reserves that will render this civilization and all ‘oil-dependent’ civilizations unsustainable. Away from the ‘emotional’ responses, we find ourselves in a great deal of trouble on multiple levels. I attempt to bring that reality to the forefront. Additionally, below, you may read from other top world minds and writers as to the long term consequences of continued human overpopulation.
Interview with Frosty Wooldridge--Posted on the archive of the Stark Truth: http://reasonradionetwork.com/?p=8893
Thank you for appearing
for an excellent & informative show!
Regards, Mike Conner
Voice of Reason Broadcast Network
For further information, please contact me at www.frostywooldridge.com , email@example.com. Also, view “Blind Spot” with Aldopho Doring and Amanda Zackem at www.blindspotdoc.com at http://www.snagfilms.com/films/title/blind_spot/ ; watch the 14 minute video by Roy Beck “ Immigration by the Numbers” at www.numbersusa.com ; also join www.TheSocialContract.com for the finest in updates and information as to what our civilization faces; also www.fairus.org for top notch information on immigration and population; additionally www.cis.org with Mark Krikorian and Dr. Steve Camarota for up to date info on population and immigration; please visit www.albartlett.org for exceptional program on population and energy by Dr. Bartlett; www.populationmedia.org with William Ryerson and Joe Bish; www.worldpopulationbalance.org with David Paxson, www.populationpress.org with Marilyn Hempel; www.skil.org with Dr. Jack Alpert, PRODUCER: GEORGE A. COLBURN ,www.starbrightmediacorp.com; www.innovationcourse.org ; Dave Gardner, President, Citizen-Powered Media ; www.growthbusters.org ; in Canada www.immigrationwatchcanada.org ; in Australia www.population.org.au andPublicPopForum@yahoogroups.com; in Great Britain www.optimumpopulation.org ; and many other top organizations at my website.
Kindest regards, Frosty Wooldridge, Golden, CO
SERIOUS REALITIES WE FACE AS A CIVILIZATION
By Frosty Wooldridge
“Can you think of any problem in any area of human endeavor on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long-term solution is in any demonstrable way aided, assisted, or advanced by further increases of population, locally, nationally, or globally.” Dr. Albert Bartlett www.albartlett.org
“A simple look at the upward path of global greenhouse emissions indicates we will continue to squeeze the trigger on the gun we have put to our own head.” Eugene Linden, The Winds of Change: Climate, Weather and the Destruction of Civilization
“The ship is already starting to spin out of control. We may soon lose all chance of grabbing the wheel. Humanity faces a genuinely new situation. It is not an environmental crisis in the accepted sense. It is a crisis for the entire life-support system for our civilization and our species.” Fred Pearce, The Last Generation: How Nature Will take Her Revenge for Climate Change
“At this point, it’s almost certainly too late to manage a transition to sustainability on a global or national scale, even if the political will to attempt it existed, which it clearly does not. Our civilization is in the early stages of the same curve of decline and fall as so many others have followed before it. What likely lies in wait for us is a long, uneven decline into a new Dark Age from which, centuries from now, the civilizations of the future will gradually emerge.” John Michael Greer, The Long Descent
“We are strong and adaptable animals and can certainly make a new life on the hotter Earth, but there will only be a fraction of inhabitable land left. Soon we face the appalling question of who m can we let aboard the lifeboats? And who must we reject? There will be great clamor from climate refugees seeking a safe haven in those few parts where the climate is tolerable and food available. We will need a new set of rules for limiting the population in climate oases.” James Lovelock, The Vanishing Face of Gaia: A final Warning
“Imagine we live on a planet. Not our cozy, taken for granted planet, but a planet, a real one, with melting poles and dying forests and a heaving, corrosive sea, raked by winds, strafed by storms, scorched by heat. And inhospitable place. It needs a new name, Eaarth.” Bill McKibben, Eaarth: Making a life on a Tough new Planet
"The cheap oil age created an artificial bubble of plentitude for a period not much longer than a human lifetime....so I hazard to assert that as oil ceases to be cheap and the world reserves move toward depletion, we will be left with an enormous population...that the ecology of the earth will not support. The journey back toward non-oil population homeostasis will not be pretty. We will discover the hard way that population hyper growth was simply a side-effect of the oil age. It was a condition, not a problem with a solution. That is what happened and we are stuck with it." James Howard Kunstler
“We must alert and organize the world's people to pressure world leaders to take specific steps to solve the two root causes of our environmental crises - exploding population growth and wasteful consumption of irreplaceable resources. Over-consumption and overpopulation underlie every environmental problem we face today.” Jacques-Yves Cousteau
“As we go from this happy hydrocarbon bubble we have reached now to a renewable energy resource economy, which we do this century, will the “civil” part of civilization survive? As we both know there is no way that alternative energy sources can supply the amount of per capita energy we enjoy now, much less for the 9 billion expected by 2050. And energy is what keeps this game going. We are involved in a Faustian bargain—selling our economic souls for the luxurious life of the moment, but sooner or later the price has to be paid.” Walter Youngquist
“The U.S. will set a record in the rate of rise—and fall of an empire. Between wide open borders and fall of the dollar and growing population against a declining resource base, the US will be defeated from within. Mobs will rule the streets in the nation that is now the third largest in the world and unable to support its population except by taking resources from other countries.” Arnold Toynbee
“If present growth trends in population, industrialization, pollution, food production and resource depletion continue unchanged, the limits to growth will be reached sometime in the next 100 years.” The Club of Rome 1972
“The power of population is so superior to the power of earth to produce subsistence to humanity that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race.” Thomas Malthus 1798
Frosty Wooldridge has bicycled across six continents - from the Arctic to the South Pole - as well as six times across the USA, coast to coast and border to border. In 2005, he bicycled from the Arctic Circle, Norway to Athens, Greece. He presents "The Coming Population Crisis in America: and what you can do about it" to civic clubs, church groups, high schools and colleges. He works to bring about sensible world population balance at www.frostywooldridge.com He is the author of: America on the Brink: The Next Added 100 Million Americans. Copies available: 1 888 280 7715