The cartel's latest strategy report forecasts oil prices won't reach $100 - "$100 is not in any of the scenarios," in the next decade (and could drop below $40) with its most optimistic scenario $76 in 2025 (which only Qatar and Kuwait can cover expenditures with). "If they want to sustain the organization, they have no choice," but to reintroduce production quotas, adding any concession by stronger members would be temporary.

A return to quotas?

As The Wall Street Journal reports,

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries doesn't see oil prices consistently trading at $100 barrel again in the next decade, a pessimistic assessment that has the group considering the return of production limits to influence the market, according to a draft of the cartel's latest strategy report.