?The Paris Accord, signed on Tuesday by members of a "coalition of the willing" and aimed at providing security and economic guarantees for Ukraine, is a strange agreement.

If it is taken seriously, it will convince the Russians to change their strategy in Ukraine, meaning the Russians may well decide to try and take over all of Ukraine.

The accord gives nothing at all to Russia, which was probably its intent. It has the same bad smell as the 1919 Versailles Treaty, which the US Senate rejected.

Officially Russia's strategy is to secure the goals it has set for the "special military operation." While NATO does not accept the terminology, the Russians have operated in a framework defined below:

1. Territory: Russia aimed to secure the five areas which Russia has already annexed, using the traditional boundary lines for each area. Russia fully controls one of the five, namely Crimea. The Russian control percentages in the other four territories are: Luhansk, 99.6%; Donetsk, 78.1%; Zaphorize, 74.8%; Kherson, 72%.