"They’re probably going to default at a rate that makes subprime look like a walk in the park," warned Rick Sharga , senior vice president for RealtyTrac, a foreclosure research firm in Irvine, Calif.
Now why are notice of defaults so important to follow? It is an important leading indicator. When the market tanked in 2008 the notice of default market was telling us gear up in 2007.
Approximately 31% of households do not have a mortgage. So the 50+ million households with mortgages have far less than 41.4% equity. Barry Ritholtz has estimated that mortgage holders have less than 15% equity.
RealtyTrac said they expect REO activity to “spike in the coming months as foreclosure delays and moratoria implemented by various state laws come to an end.”
While home sales numbers are back at the levels of the boom, you can see the buyers either cannot or will not buy homes that require jumbo mortgages- homes that by their nature are traditional prime mortgages...
There are many historical examples. After the bursting of the Japanese housing bubble in 1991, land prices in Japan’s major cities fell every single year for 15 consecutive years.
The bottom will come. I guarantee it. When it does, few will want to buy. In the meantime knife catching is fraught with danger as flippers get washed out one by one.
If the pending buyers did not lock rates, they are about to come to the closing table and find out that they cannot qualify any more with the more than one percent increase in rates (from ~4.75% to ~5.75%) over the last week.
But overly onerous payments are only part of the problem. For 15.4 million “underwater” borrowers — those who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth — a lack of home equity puts them at risk of default
But falling prices also make it more difficult for homeowners who get into financial trouble to refinance or sell their homes, and for others to take advantage of lower interest rates.
Foreclosure filings soared in Miami-Dade by 111 percent between March and April, according to RealtyTrac, a private foreclosure tracking firm. Broward foreclosures surged 124 percent between March and April.
A total of 342,038 properties received a default or auction notice or were seized last month, RealtyTrac Inc. of Irvine, California, said today in a statement.
The median price fell 14 percent to $169,000, the National Association of Realtors said today. Prices dropped in 134 of 152 metropolitan areas, with the deepest declines in Cape Coral-Ft. Myers, Florida, and the San Francisco and San Jose areas.
This chart is probably the most astounding. We have taken virtually every measure possible to prop up the crony banking model and thrown trillions at the housing problem. Yet foreclosures are still at record highs nationwide.
The Senate today approved a housing bill aimed at addressing the country's growing foreclosure problem, including revamping a troubled government foreclosure prevention program.
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“Just like homeowners in smaller homes, these homeowners anticipated being able to refinance mortgages to continue making payments and at a future date sell for a gain and put it toward their next home.
Real-estate Web site Zillow.com said that overall, the number of borrowers who are underwater climbed to 26.9 million at the end of the first quarter from 16.3 million at the end of the fourth quarter.
“The operating environment for housing remained very difficult during the first quarter of 2009. The housing market continues to face rising unemployment, tight mortgage availability, increased foreclosure activity and declining home prices...
The FHA is almost certainly going to need a taxpayer bailout in the months ahead. The only debate is how much it will cost. By law FHA must carry a 2% reserve (or a 50 to 1 leverage rate), and it is now 3% and falling.
We know that those homeowners that do not have mortgages — i.e., 100% equity — cannot default. So if we want to understand the potential further mischief real estate land can cause, it is the mortgaged properties we should be watching.
Higher end properties are going to have to drop their prices significantly to adjust to this market. That will tend to put downward pressure on all prices. High speculator participation and a cooling economy are also risk factors for the market.
Victorville- The housing collapse is taking a literal form for one bankrupt housing development. Four model homes and 12 nearly finished spec homes at Bear Valley Road and Highway 395 are being demolished.
Phoenix home prices fell 35% from February 2008 to February 2009, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index. That’s the largest decline of any of the 20 largest cities in the US. Phoenix home prices are down 51% from their peak.