What Saved the Dow? Sensible Economic Policies ... As of the
closing bell on Tuesday, the Dow was trading at 14,254—well above the
previous all-time peak of 14,198, which the market reached on October
11, 2007. With investors increasingly optimistic about the economy,
nearly four hundred issues on the New York Stock Exchange hit new highs.
Sticklers will point out that, after accounting for inflation, stock
prices are still more than ten per cent below their previous peak, but
that's quibbling. Any way you look at it, during the past four years the
market has made a remarkable recovery from the post-Lehman crash.- New
Yorker
Dominant Social Theme: If not for monetary debasement, the stock market would have foundered.
Free-Market Analysis: This New Yorker article offers us tribute to monetary policy. But certainly there must
be a question about manipulating stock averages up using increased money
flows. The article ends by challenging free-market types to
"acknowledge the success" of politics and the financial system generally
in rebounding from the financial crisis and posting such stellar
numbers.
Well ... as free-market types, we are perfectly willing to throw in a
word of caution when it comes to where the market has been and where it
is headed – Dow Jones, Nasdaq and similar US markets anyway. It seems
to us that valuations of industry have increased validity when they are
subject to investor sentiment rather than Federal Reserve monetary inflation.
In fact, the question becomes – as this article does not seem to
notice – whether inflated averages are viable or ephemeral: That is, are
they a valid indicator of performance or merely evidence of the power
of the printing press. Here's more from the article:
... Take a quick historical quiz. How long do you think it took
the market to regain its high after the stock-market crash of 1929? Five
years? Ten years? Fifteen years? Twenty years? Keep going. On September
3, 1929, the Dow closed at 381.17, a level it didn't see again until
November 23, 1954. That's twenty-five years, two months, and twenty
days—more than a quarter of a century. The stock market's recuperation
from the Great Depression took almost five times as long as its recovery from the Great Recession.
