IPFS News Link • Economy - Economics USA
Recession has Arrived; Factory Orders Decline 2.9%, Inventories Rise
• http://mishtalk.com, by mishgeaIt was another disastrous factory orders report this month.
December factory orders fell 2.9%
Durable goods orders -5.0%, nondurable goods -0.8%
November factory orders revised from -0.2% to -0.7%.
Core capital goods orders fell steep 4.3%
Inventories rose 0.2%
The inventory-to-sales ratio rose again which portends weakness for future hiring and production.
Shipments fell a steep 1.4%
The Econoday Consensus Estimate was -2.8%, nearly on the mark in a range of -3.7% to +0.2%. It's mind-boggling that an economist would predict a rise. Are they throwing darts?
Year-over-year core capital spending by manufacturers has been in negative territory for eleven months. Core capital spending is defined as nondefense capital goods, excluding aircraft.