But, if God doesn't exist, belief would have a finite cost, and disbelief would only have at best a finite benefit.
Pascal concluded, given that we can never prove whether or not God exists, it's probably wiser to assume he exists because infinite damnation is much worse than a finite cost.
When it comes to investing, Pascal's argument applies as well. Let's start with an email I received this past week.
"The risk of buying and holding an index is only in the short-term. The longer you hold an index the less risky it becomes. Also, managing money is a fool's errand anyway as 95% of money managers underperform their index from one year to the next."
This is an interesting comment as it exposes two primary falsehoods.
Let's start with the second comment "95% of money managers can't beat their index from one year to the next."