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The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market

•, by Tyler Durden


Our analysis provides kind of a Grand Unified Theory (GUT) of what is currently taking place in global financial markets

The massive borrowing by the U.S. Treasury is crowding out emerging markets capital flows

The structural factors that have kept long-term interest rates low and term premia repressed are fading

We expect a measured move in the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.25 to 4.40 percent, much sooner than the market anticipates

"Reagan proved deficits don't matter." – Dick Cheney

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