The default cycle that should have occurred, given historical patterns
of issuance cycles, has morphed (thanks to the Fed) into a refinancing
cycle; but while DoubleLine's Jeff Gundlach suggests that fundamentals
are supportive, "the valuation of junk bonds as a category is at its all-time overvalued versus long-time treasury bonds." So despite
Yellen exclaiming that she sees no bubbles, one of the world's largest
bond fund managers has never seen corporate bonds (investment grade and
high yield) more expensive. Gundlach goes on to note he has
sold some Apple (but believes it will remain range-bound), is baffled by
the valuation of Chipotle, and sees 10Y Treasury yields dropping to 2.5% or lower.