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IPFS News Link • Voting and Elections

5 signs Rahm Emanuel may be doomed in the Chicago mayoral race

• http://www.businessinsider.com, TOM BEVAN

Mayor Emanuel was forced into a runoff against Jesus "Chuy" Garcia back on Feb. 24 when he failed to crack the 50 percent mark, and there are a growing number of signs that Emanuel may find himself on the short end of things again on April 7. Here are five:

 1) The Polls

Let's start with the obvious: The polling on this race is sparse, but the latest numbers show Emanuel is still stuck in the mid-40s. Those numbers haven't moved much -- if at all -- since the race entered the runoff, which is a mixed bag for Emanuel. On the good side, it shows that a surge toward Garcia hasn't materialized, at least not yet. On the bad side, well, Emanuel is still at 45.  According to the latest surveys, there's somewhere between 15-20 percent still undecided. If Emanuel can win a third of those voters, it will give him what he needs to win the race. But here's a cautionary tale: The final pre-election poll from the Chicago Tribune last month showed the mayor at 45 percent with 20 percent still undecided. Emanuel's final tally on Feb. 24? 45.4 percent.  


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