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IPFS News Link • Economy - Economics USA

Something Big Is Brewing---Debt Markets No Longer Make Sense

• davidstockmanscontracorner.com

And now, as Bloomberg reports, it appears the mainstream is beginning to recognize that something very strange is going on in debt markets. Across developed markets, the conventional relationship between ('risk-free') government debt and other 'more risky' assets has been turned upside-down. "Everybody in the fixed-income market should care about this," warns a rates strategist and in fact, it's hard to overstate how illogical it is when swap spreads are inverted, as JPM warns the moves in swap-spreads "should be viewed as symptomatic of deeper problems."

As we stated before, a negative swap spread holds no interpretative meaning, the very fact of which is the most important element.

In other words, we don't have to figure out what the "market" is saying about a negative spread because it isn't saying anything other than "something" is wrong (and very wrong with so many and deeper negative and compressed maturities).


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