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IPFS News Link • Economy - Economics USA

It's Easier To Pretend Our Economic System Works And Just Blow Endless Asset Bubbles

• https://www.zerohedge.com, by Michael Every

He attacked China for "economic blitzkrieg – an aggressive, orchestrated, whole-of-government (indeed, whole-of-society) campaign to seize the commanding heights of the global economy and to surpass the United States as the world's pre-eminent superpower." He also called out Hollywood and US firms for kowtowing to Beijing, alleging corporate officials "display hammer-and-sickle insignia at their desks and attend party lectures during business hours," before concluding "If Disney and other American corporations continue to bow to Beijing, they risk undermining both their own future competitiveness and prosperity, as well as the classical liberal order that has allowed them to thrive."

So just where did the US win? In the field that matters most to markets, in fact the only thing that matters to markets – spending. While Chinese retail sales for June fell 1.8% y/y, US retail sales leaped 7.5% m/m vs. 5.0% expected. Yes, it's apples and oranges, and the US are still down marginally y/y, but considering the States are at least a quarter behind China in the recovery process, it's a genuinely dynamic retail rebound. USA! USA! USA!

So what is driving this latest round of the US consumer miracle? The $600 a week in special virus-related unemployment benefits. In many instances this is worth more than people's pre-crisis salary.

The problem here is that these benefits run out at the end of July, and there is as yet no sign whatsoever that they will be extended. Indeed, key Republicans are making noises that doing so would be dangerous. Certainly, it would be in a laissez-faire sense. Then again, in the face of a war against a virus, so is laissez-faire – which is why nobody ever adopts it during wartime. Indeed, the larger message here is desperately simple, and perhaps just desperate.


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