Collecting the signatures to have a vote should be relatively easy. The hard part will be actually winning the vote to then get to negotiations for independence. However, independence for Alberta is very economically attractive, especially based upon current conditions where US cooperation is guaranteed. This would put Alberta into a far better negotiating position with Ontario, Quebec and Canada.

If the Liberals and the Prime Minister continued the previous administrations anti-pipeline, anti-energy policies like carbon taxes then this would run counter to the demands of Alberta. A hardline against Alberta would mean Canada shoving Alberta out of Canada.

Alberta and Saskatchewan voted 65% for conservatives and both have energy (oil and gas) inside the provinces that would be better developed out of Canada's restrictions. BC also has a lot of natural gas but the majority of BC population is currently less interested in developing those resources. If Alberta did leave and was successful then it would attract Saskatchewan, the three northern territories and eventually BC could also want the same terms where they could be 50% or even 100% richer per person over time. It would start as an ABExit and could become a CanWestExit.

History of polling did show a strong lead but conservatives never had more than about 44-45% support. Liberal support collapsed until enough people in Canada hated Trump and the US more than they hated the Liberals.

Canada is 58% left and 42% conservative. All of the Bloc, NDP and Green parties got less votes to consolidate left votes into the Liberals.

Current Alberta Economy Baseline

GDP: Alberta's GDP is approximately $350 billion, based on historical data adjusted to recent years (e.g., $331.9 billion in 2016, grown modestly with inflation and economic trends).

Population: Alberta's population is around 4.5 million.

Per Capita GDP: $350 billion ÷ 4.5 million = ~$77,778 per person.

Oil Production: Currently 4.3 million barrels per day (bpd).

Natural Gas Production: 11.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2023.

Fiscal Contribution: Alberta is a net contributor to Canada's federal system, transferring approximately $25 billion annually more to federal revenues than it receives in spending (a rough average based on historical net fiscal transfers).