
News Link • Robots and Artificial Intelligence
Elon Musk Talks About the Future of AI, Starship, Optimus and X Payments
• https://www.nextbigfuture.com, by Brian WangSpaceX plans to recover the upper stage Starship possibly this year or in the first half of next year. They will catch the booster and starship with Mechazilla for full reuse. They will achieve orbital refueling as the next major goal.
They will reduce per-flight cost below that of the expendable Falcon 1, enabling 100+ tons to orbit cheaper than half a ton previously.
Mars Colonization Vision
A self-sustaining Mars city would involve initial living in glass domes or Mars suits, with governance decided by Martians.
RoboTaxi and Tesla Autonomy
Cybercab (two-seater) will coexist with Model 3/Y (for 4-6 passengers), dynamically pooling vehicles based on needs.
Autonomy rollout. Tesla will have Supervised full self-driving expanding to many U.S. cities later this year, potentially many countries next year.
Optimus Humanoid Robot
Optimus Version 3 design is for volume production and is a major redesign from Version 2. They aim for a few hundred units by year-end with significant scaling next year.
Elon predictsdOptimus will surpass Tesla's auto business, with a market for 20-50 billion units at ~$20,000 each, leading to $30 trillion+ revenue. It will be the world's biggest product as everyone would want a superior C-3PO/R2-D2.
There will be high-value uses like 24/7 nursing for quadriplegics or dangerous/repetitive tasks; biggest long-term transformation over full self-driving.
AI, Grok, and xAI
Elon again stated that digital superintelligence is possible this year or 2026. He says AGI (artificial general intelligence) will be able to invent useful new technologies or discovering new physics.
AI/robotics could grow the world economy 10x+, eliminate poverty, provide universal abundance. The challenge he sees is finding meaning when robots outperform humans.