In taking a look at digital ID pilot programs around the world, we see that most countries have a digital ID program in development or available to the public. We expect national ID apps (either provided by the government or through big tech apps) to be available in the next two years. After this, the push for adoption will be made over the next five years towards 2030. Within a decade, legacy means of identification will be made largely obsolete, forcing reliance on regional and controllable digital credentials for everything from travel to trade.

Interestingly, lawmakers in the EU and Australia have written into law that their digital ID will always be voluntary.

Section 57 of the EU Regulation establishing the European Identity Digital Framework clearly states, "Users should be under no obligation to use a European Digital Identity Wallet to access private services and should not be restricted or hindered in their access to services on the grounds that they do not use a European Digital Identity Wallet."

But can we trust them?

Digital ID Mandates Happen By Proxy

India's Digital ID system, Aadhar, started off with the goal of being ""voluntary."" The Supreme Court ruled that people could not be discriminated against for lack of a digital ID.

However, Aadhar has enrolled more than one billion Indians since 2009 through mandate by proxy, the country compelling the use of the ID:

Several major banks imposed Aadhar requirements to open new accounts (despite an Apex court ruling).

Mobile phone operators demanded that customers link their Aadhar and mobile numbers together—or risk disconnection.

Larger international freight services required senders to send them a copy of Aadhar.

India's largest e-commerce system and digital wallet, Paytm, required Aadhar for KYC (know-your-customer).

Landlords throughout the country have insisted on Aadhar to qualify as a renter.