
America's Collapse: #2 in a series
• www.paulcraigroberts.org, Paul Craig RobertsAn Economy Based on Plunder
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An Economy Based on Plunder
You couldn't have timed that better. The Donald managed to hold on to a "2" in Friday's GDP report, but it was entirely due to a boom in government spending.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in over a decade Wednesday. And Jerome Powell left the door open for future cuts.
This is not what The Fed's "insurance" rate-cut was supposed to do...
With China, Europe, and Japan Manufacturing PMIs are all signaling contraction, US Manufacturing PMI dropped to its weakest since September 2009 (at 50.4 vs 50.6 prior) and ISM Manufacturing tumbled to 51.2 - the lowest since Aug 2016.
From 2008 through 2018, there were 4.4 million fewer births in the US than the US Census estimated there would be in its 2008 projection.
Ten years ago, at the peak of the global financial crisis, the Board of Trustees which oversees Social Security in the United States issued a stark warning:
Watch: Fed Chair Powell Explain Why He's Cutting Rates At Record High Stocks & Record Low Unemployment
Just over eight months since Fed Chair Powell panicked and pivoted as global stocks (and bond yields) tumbled, the flip-flop is complete as The Fed has cut rates (by 25bps) for the first time since Dec 2008 (and cut the IOER to 2.1% from 2.35%).
Growth in residential remodeling spending is expected to fall through 2H20, according to the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) published by the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.
New car sales are down - again - for the seventh month in a row. Which means they've been slipping all year long so far. The last time it was this slow was about ten years ago - which was the last time the car business fell down and almost co
Bob Anderson (libertarian activist; off-grid living) calls in from the Jackalope Freedom Festival in Baca Meadows, AZ - Tim Picciott (Crypto Self Direct; The Liberty Advisor; Wealth Manager @ Innovative Advisory Group) gives The Economic Report
US home price appreciation slowed for the 14th month in a row in May, rising only 2.39% YoY (below expectations), its weakest home price growth since Aug 2012...
One of the reasons why Trump and Congress were so quick to pass a debt ceiling deal last week is that had they failed to do so, with the Treasury's cash balance sliding precariously lower and expected to hit $0 by early September...
As outlined this weekend put call ratios are fairly low and benign going into this week's Fed meeting. No worries. Investor positioning? All in long it appears.
The economy is being gambled with. The Federal Reserve is likely going to cut interest rates this week, and the global economy is at stake.
The trade deficit in goods shrank a bit but the real story is a sharp slowdown in trade.
With a decade-long bull market and an ultra low interest rate environment globally, it's not surprising to see capital flock to housing assets.
Last week, we discussed the setup for a near-term mean reversion because of the massive extension above the long-term mean.
If the Fed thought its life was complicated before, when it was expected to cut rates even as the US economy was firing on all cylinders and humming along, Powell's problems just hit nightmare level, following a Q2 GDP print that not only came in far
In 1940 you could buy a nice cape cod style home for around $2,500. Someone entering the job market likely started out at $25 a week. A 1940 Buick with a straight 8 would run you $895 and up.
The manufacturing PMIs have become the holy grail of indicators for many market participants. ECRI's U.S. Leading Index of Manufacturing PMIs (USLIMPMI) anticipates cyclical shifts in the ISM and Markit manufacturing PMIs for the U.S. to a 2 2/3-ye
It was a week of Treasury auctions to forget.
If the U.S. economy really was "booming", then corporate earnings would be rising. But that isn't happening.
U.S. Home-Buying By Foreigners Sees Record Plunge
Deceleration, Distortion, Debt-Deflation, Depopulation, Default, & Depression
Tim Picciott (Crypto Self Direct; The Liberty Advisor; Wealth Manager @ Innovative Advisory Group) gives The Economic Report; re-cap of FreedomFest 2019 and Anarchovegas...World Ayahuasca Conference 2019 Re-Cap (held in Spain in May 2019)
Economist John Williams says be careful what you wish for when it comes to Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Williams explains, "Unless you can get a good healthy consumer, you are not going to get a good healthy economy.
Central bankers have two key roles: the first, and more trivial one, is to set the price of money by adjusting short-term interest rates, something they have been doing since the advent of central banking; the second and far more important role (espe
I recently interviewed economic expert Bob Kudla of Trade Genius on the coming zero interest rates. In the short term, they will be boost to the economy much like what a crack addict gets when takes cocaine to relieve himself of the pain of withdraw