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IPFS News Link • Employment & Jobs

Jobs Report Blues

• paulcraigroberts.org

John Williams of ShadowStats.com reports that these "new jobs" result from the the Birth-Death model that "artificially inflates headline month-to-month payroll gains with add-factors that currently average well in excess of 200,000 jobs per month."

In other words, the jobs are the product of a model's assumption that unreported new start-ups created 200,000 more jobs than unreported business failures lost.

To look at the jobs report in a different way, assume March did bring 215,000 new jobs and ask, "which sectors had jobs gains?" The answer is the same as has been the case since I began years ago reporting on the payroll jobs report:

Retail trade accounts for 47,700 of the jobs.

Health care and social assistance account for 44,000 of the jobs.

Waitresses and bartenders account for 24,800 of the jobs.

Manufacturing lost 29,000 jobs.


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